Coronavirus Pandemic and Changing of Global Politics

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Some scholars view that corona virus pandemic has influence the way global politics on process. The changes would be in interaction among countries, organization and even people. Countries’ s border as can be seen nowadays already in very tight supervision. One of implication of border issues is no regular flight in and out in easy way.

Transportation is one field which already felt it. Several airlines in the world even the most profitable one should adjust the new situation. After five month since January when covid-19 was still in China, some airlines has talked on reducing its staff. Some airline companies has grounded most of its air fleet.

Other implication of Covid-19 is related to economic situation at almost all countries. As transportation restriction become common in the world, goods traffic are also on halted. Export and import of manufacturing good except essential one like food and medicine might decline more than 50%. It means that export countries could send their product and in same time importing country could received regular product.

In one side, relations among countries mostly depend on importance of issues and needed. Political issues among countries might in less important compare to survival measures in every countries to keep Covid-19 contained and to make people secure. It could be solidarity in the world in raised compare to conflict mood.

However, one of prediction of Covid-19 is the raising of China in world scene. The China – origin of Covid-19 – in very short time could contain and recover from the disease. At least the China’s decisive responses to the pandemic has gave the country ability to maneuver in the world. For example, global diplomacy of China has helped it to establish image as strong and capable country. In this particular situation, China seems be viewed as winner one compare with US, for example. ***

Dawn of New Era under King Charles III

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With the interment of Queen Elizabeth II,  The United Kingdom entered a new era under King Charles III. For 70 years the British Empire was under the leadership of Queen Elizabeth II. One legacy from Queen Elizabeth is the stability of Britain and commonwealth countries over a period of more than half a century. Britain, which had been plagued by violence from Northern Ireland but slowly then after the Cold War became lessened.

This so-called new era under Charles King III was the first, England ceased to be an emporium like the 17th to 20th centuries due to the independence of its colonies. In the midst of that situation, the British Empire must survive not maintaining the values of the kingdom in the United Kingdom and at least as head of state in four countries such as Australia, Canada and Jamaica. Although the territory has shrunk, the remnants of British influence are still lingering. This is what later became Britain’s source of power in international relations.

Secondly, in the days since Queen Elizabeth died it appears that the solidarity of the people in the Kingdom of England from Wales to Scotland to Northern Ireland is strengthening. Hundreds or even thousands of people ranging from Scotland to London, England extended farewell greetings to the minister of Queen Elizabeth. This event is rare, giving rise to the interpretation that it is true that there are still ties between the people of the British Empire and the Royal family. The British royal family because of Prince Harry’s matter of abandoning the royal family’s obligations and choosing to stay in the United States was a challenge from the royal family. But it did not dampen the respect of the British people to Queen Elizabeth II and King Charles III.

Thirdly, When Britain has already exited the European Union through Brexit, Britain’s influence and involvement in Europe is not as close as it used to be. Many rules are a challenge for Britons working in Europe and vice versa. King Charles III’s challenge is how to lead Britain when it is no longer in the extended family of the European Union but is in Europe.

In short, the new era of the British Empire under King Charles III was highly dependent on his leadership ability both in maintaining the monarchical culture in England and in being an inspiration for the British people to face the dynamics of the world including the War in Ukraine which seriously threatened the economies of Britain and Europe.

Random scenarios for Ukraine War

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What is look like the outcome of the war in Ukraine? Here are some scenarios based on ongoing events.

Firstly, Ukraine will be occupied by Russia this year

Secondly, Ukraine become puppet government ruled by Russian

Thirdly, a long war without a clear winner due to Western proxy intervention like in Syria

Fourthly, Ukraine sign a peace agreement with Russia with unfair conditions for Ukraine

Finally, Ukraine become a winner with a heavy loss

Detail of these scenarios will be presented in short time